Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $35.41
- Potential payout
- $931.72
- Potential profit
- $896.31
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$164.59
Polymarket Trader
by-hongming
0xc919568dc141fee093b0f502097dca907a57d1dd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $971.08
- Realized PnL
- $2.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $9.72
- Potential payout
- $454.2
- Potential profit
- $444.48
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$30.28
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $286.61
- Potential profit
- $286.61
- User PnL
- -$95.56
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $220.8
- Potential payout
- $243.97
- Potential profit
- $23.18
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $20.8
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $204.6
- Potential payout
- $213.91
- Potential profit
- $9.31
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.93
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $198.45
- Potential payout
- $205.33
- Potential profit
- $6.88
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.06
- Potential profit
- $194.06
- User PnL
- -$29.49
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $160.12
- Potential payout
- $165.24
- Potential profit
- $5.12
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $113.48
- Potential payout
- $131.19
- Potential profit
- $17.71
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
No position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-04?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.17
- Potential profit
- $90.17
- User PnL
- -$5.41
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $89.6
- Potential profit
- $86.82
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$6.18
Under position
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87
- Potential profit
- $87
- User PnL
- -$8.64
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $25.74
- Potential payout
- $79.19
- Potential profit
- $53.45
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$4.36
No position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.1
- Potential profit
- $77.1
- User PnL
- -$19.01
No position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.79
- Potential profit
- $75.79
- User PnL
- -$11.59
Yes position
Will Finland win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.53
- Potential profit
- $70.53
- User PnL
- -$11.91
Over position
United States vs. Germany: O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.08
- Potential profit
- $69.08
- User PnL
- -$8.98
No position
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $68
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Yes position
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-06-04?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.63
- Potential profit
- $62.63
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Rina Saigo position
ITF Wuning: Yufei Ren vs Rina Saigo
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.56
- Potential profit
- $60.56
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Over position
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.22
- Potential profit
- $58.22
- User PnL
- -$29.7
No position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.45
- Potential profit
- $56.45
- User PnL
- -$6.21
Paula Badosa position
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.72
- Potential profit
- $54.72
- User PnL
- -$12.56
Baltimore Orioles position
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.06
- Potential profit
- $52.06
- User PnL
- -$16.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-04?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.45
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.04
No position
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.84
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.32
No position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.84
Yes position
Will Romania win on 2026-06-06?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.56
No position
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.04
No position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.35
Yes position
Will Malta win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.22
Yes position
Will Peru win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.01
Yes position
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.55
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.13
No position
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.49
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.52
Detroit Tigers position
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.7
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.33
No position
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.56
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $20.45
Zhizhen Zhang position
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.71
Yes position
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-06?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
Over position
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.81
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.13
Over position
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 95% 6.27 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 95% 5.48 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 95% 9.23 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 95% 5.21 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 95% 5.21 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 95.7% 5.17 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 95% 5.21 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 94% 5.27 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 90% 5.5 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 90% 22.22 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 85% 5.82 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 94.6% 6.85 shares