No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $23.32K
- Potential payout
- $56.89K
- Potential profit
- $33.56K
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Polymarket Trader
Gladius7
0xc9328e28eeb44978dbac9debb61ebc92931be6a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $55.38K
- Realized PnL
- $21.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $15.76K
- Potential payout
- $21.73K
- Potential profit
- $5.98K
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $5.57K
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.1%
- Current value
- $6.11K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.4%
- Current value
- $5.12K
- Potential payout
- $7.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $442.21
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $2.28K
- Potential payout
- $3.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$121.79
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $374.61
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $247.52
Yes position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$201
Yes position
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $923.02
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $291.48
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $112.8
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $57.82
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $965.56
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $63.39
- Potential payout
- $807.56
- Potential profit
- $744.17
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- $7.39
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $43.52
- Potential payout
- $654.37
- Potential profit
- $610.86
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$12.48
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $442.31
- Potential profit
- $442.31
- User PnL
- -$230
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $55.11
- Potential payout
- $298.7
- Potential profit
- $243.59
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $276.88
- Potential profit
- $276.88
- User PnL
- -$210.43
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.86
- Potential profit
- $126.86
- User PnL
- -$60.4
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- -$20
Joao Fonseca position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.13
- Potential profit
- $84.13
- User PnL
- -$53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59K
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.93K
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Penguins position
Blackhawks vs. Penguins
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Hornets position
Pelicans vs. Hornets
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $922.68
No position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $837.46
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $716.64
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $680.95
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $661.57
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $615.15
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $572.51
No position
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.26
Penguins position
Penguins vs. Canucks
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530.8
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.29
Joe Pyfer position
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.45
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.96
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $449.38
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.46
Michael Page position
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.36
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.6
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.21
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.73
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 76% 276.88 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 4 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 302.7 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.2% 29.41 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.7% 44.78 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 61.1% 16.37 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 60.1% 33 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 60.3% 440 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 60.7% 2,951.85 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 95.2% 1,904.23 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 60.1% 3,080.38 shares
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway 69% 2,030.51 shares