Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$58.8
Polymarket Trader
0xc936...ec95
0xc93698a48618aefe70dfd47a22fc1f53e492ec95
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $205.28
- Realized PnL
- -$39.29
- Win rate
- 15.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Yes position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$24.5
Yes position
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$21.56
Yes position
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $5.66
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$17.94
Yes position
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $995.5
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.42
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $827.92
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $595.18
- Potential profit
- $595.18
- User PnL
- -$19.6
No position
Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $533.19
- Potential profit
- $533.19
- User PnL
- -$41.16
Yes position
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $523.22
- Potential profit
- $523.22
- User PnL
- -$19.6
No position
Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $516.28
- Potential profit
- $516.28
- User PnL
- -$31.36
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $62.11
- Potential payout
- $398.13
- Potential profit
- $336.02
- Multiplier
- 6.41x
- User PnL
- -$24.12
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.6
- Potential profit
- $299.6
- User PnL
- -$21.56
Yes position
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $5.94
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $271.83
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $30.33
- Potential payout
- $242.6
- Potential profit
- $212.28
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $10.73
Yes position
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.5
- Potential profit
- $196.5
- User PnL
- -$1.96
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.13
- Potential profit
- $175.13
- User PnL
- -$10.78
Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.61
- Potential profit
- $172.61
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $91.32
- Potential payout
- $164.55
- Potential profit
- $73.22
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $59.92
Yes position
Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.09
- Potential profit
- $148.09
- User PnL
- -$1.96
No position
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.42
- Potential profit
- $141.42
- User PnL
- -$9.8
No position
Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$9.8
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.48
- Potential profit
- $124.48
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Yes position
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.2
- Potential profit
- $91.2
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.29
Yes position
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.12
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.59
Yes position
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Yes position
Will Tiger Woods win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Will Trump say "Judy Shelton" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.18
Yes position
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.74
No position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.23
Yes position
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.55
Yes position
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.53
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.21
Yes position
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.3
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.25
Yes position
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$66.5
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$105.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 19.3% 70.74 shares
- Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
- Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?Yes 0.7% 571.43 shares
- Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?Yes 1.8% 277.78 shares
- Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?Yes 0.6% 833.33 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 22.5% 8.89 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 34% 5.88 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 25.6% 7.81 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 6.1% 96.1 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No 58% 7.84 shares
- Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes 1.7% 33.79 shares
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes 0.1% 225.71 shares