123erty

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $989.6
Potential payout: $21.99K
Potential profit: $21K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$5.46K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $995.16
Potential payout: $11.71K
Potential profit: $10.71K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$3.33K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $11.58K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $2.27K

Yes position

Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $64.15
Potential payout: $10.69K
Potential profit: $10.63K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $9.15K
Potential profit: $8.1K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$572.26

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $482.84
Potential payout: $8.05K
Potential profit: $7.56K
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$2.39K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $290.2
Potential payout: $7.95K
Potential profit: $7.66K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$2.08K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $882.54
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $6.79K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$3.25K

Yes position

Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $397.27
Potential payout: $5.84K
Potential profit: $5.44K
Multiplier: 14.71x
User PnL: -$1.22K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $220.72
Potential payout: $5.15K
Potential profit: $4.92K
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$803.4

Yes position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $3.83K
Potential profit: $2.58K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $124.46

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $225.02
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$514.53

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $12.35
Potential payout: $3.53K
Potential profit: $3.52K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$493.44

Yes position

Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $932.32
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $2.23K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $10.09

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $127.06
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $2.97K
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$795.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.73K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$260.38

Yes position

Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $228.15
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.17K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$194.09

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $299.93
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$1.36K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $170.25
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.1K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$491.65

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $248.14
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$364.7

Yes position

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $187.89
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$23.45

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $158.25
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$602.52

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $168.64
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $564.59

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $93.15
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $941.85
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$239.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69K

Yes position

Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81K

No position

Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21K

Yes position

Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98K

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.48K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by November 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

Yes position

Will Russia enter Kostyantynivka by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

Will Russia enter Huliaipole by December 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?