Polymarket Trader

0xNewt

0xc93f66482dd7a1357786173ae859ba53390ff73d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $173.42
Realized PnL: $366.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $321
Potential profit: $321
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$10

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.12
Potential profit: $126.12
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $119.05
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $22.06
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $95.59
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $12.06

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $84.5
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $56.49
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $43.51
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $6.49

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $43.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $56.5
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Frax win the USDH ticker?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.89
Potential profit: $88.89
User PnL: -$40

CDA position

Netherlands Parliamentary Election: GL-PvdA vs CDA

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.1
Potential profit: $49.1
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $7.07
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $38.39
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $2.07

No position

Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $28.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $11.2
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.74
Potential profit: $37.74
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $36.36
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Bitcoin above $110K on September 1?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-09?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.98
Potential profit: $26.98
User PnL: -$17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $26.67
User PnL: -$2

120k position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.14
Potential profit: $26.14
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.42
Potential profit: $25.42
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 25?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.05
Potential profit: $17.05
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 6?

Ends Aug 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.52
User PnL: -$8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.52

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.2

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.51

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 29?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.33

Bills position

Ravens vs. Bills

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.82

Blues position

Senators vs. Blues

Ends Jan 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: November

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.56

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.09

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.43

Canadiens position

Lightning vs. Canadiens

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Rams position

Vikings vs. Rams

Ends Jan 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.19

Panthers position

Penguins vs. Panthers

Ends Jan 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

Heat position

Heat vs. 76ers

Ends Feb 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Rangers position

Bruins vs. Rangers

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

76ers position

Mavericks vs. 76ers

Ends Feb 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Wild position

Hurricanes vs. Wild

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Eagles position

Commanders vs. Eagles

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 72% 27.78 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 39% 25.64 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 52% 19.23 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 39% 64.1 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 55% 36.36 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 15% 100 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 84% 23.81 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 57% 35.09 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.1% 4.16 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.5% 117.65 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 119.05 shares