Polymarket Trader

Somar35

0xc943caeaa3129603e477ee3c7eae2a8b87edc591

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.21K
Realized PnL: $2.08K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$49.98

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump dance today?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.6K
Potential profit: $9.6K
User PnL: -$9.6

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $426.23
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $130.71

Yes position

Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $2.03K
User PnL: -$272.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $864.72
Potential profit: $864.72
User PnL: -$125

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $587.6
Potential payout: $810.49
Potential profit: $222.88
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $87.6

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $56.59
Potential payout: $730.24
Potential profit: $673.64
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$3.41

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $108.14
Potential payout: $697.66
Potential profit: $589.52
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$191.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $455.65
Potential profit: $455.65
User PnL: -$91.13

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.55
Potential profit: $401.55
User PnL: -$115

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $29.56
Potential payout: $358.36
Potential profit: $328.8
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$70.43

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$172.5

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $261.25
Potential profit: $261.25
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.01
Potential profit: $250.01
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $247.18
Potential profit: $247.18
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.89

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $374.28

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.76

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.35

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.97

Yes position

Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.5

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.67

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.19

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.33

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.93

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $36.15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.07

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.66

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.28

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 61.7% 810.49 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 18% 277.78 shares
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

No 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

No 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

No 38.3% 261.25 shares
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 27.9% 358.36 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Yes 55.3% 180.67 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 28.9% 173.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Up 35% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Up 0.1% 5,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Down 99.9% 6.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Down 82% 6.1 shares