No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $758.59
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $259.65
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $191.7
Polymarket Trader
Extramile123
0xc94b30b36f6a5b41592f7c609efcb69fa319fd9b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.22K
- Realized PnL
- $14.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $430.96
- Potential payout
- $730.45
- Potential profit
- $299.48
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $137.36
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $11.28
- Potential payout
- $147.51
- Potential profit
- $136.23
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- -$4.72
Los Angeles Angels position
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $7.93
- Potential payout
- $20.59
- Potential profit
- $12.66
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.9%
- Current value
- $9.92
- Potential payout
- $20.3
- Potential profit
- $10.38
- Multiplier
- 2.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $15.04
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $977.93
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $945.43
No position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $739.96
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.86
No position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.89
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.71
Arkansas State position
Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.14
Wizards position
Knicks vs. Wizards
Ends Jan 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $276.77
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Celtics
Ends Jan 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.56
No position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.81
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.18
Dvalishvili position
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedov
Ends Jan 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.03
Wild position
Wild vs. Stars
Ends Jan 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.92
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.52
Ducks position
Ducks vs. Kings
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.88
Avalanche position
Rangers vs. Avalanche
Ends Jan 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.99
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $206.77
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Rockets
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.49
Wild position
Wild vs. Avalanche
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.71
No position
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.13
Blackhawks position
Predators vs. Blackhawks
Ends Feb 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle MarinersLos Angeles Angels 37% 21.62 shares
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers 50% 16 shares
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) AND Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners13% 37.46 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Yes 49.2% 20.3 shares
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle MarinersLos Angeles Angels 34% 20.59 shares
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City RoyalsTampa Bay Rays 54% 28.7 shares
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians AND St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves23% 21.08 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?29.1% 16.83 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes 57.5% 13.91 shares
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain 52.5% 7.62 shares
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers16.4% 20.73 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?46% 18.17 shares