Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $49.44
- Potential payout
- $52.18
- Potential profit
- $2.74
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Polymarket Trader
Galadrion
0xc94f90981bc34366039b8ba59ebee3e83487c821
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.44
- Realized PnL
- $33.97
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 14?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.07
- Potential profit
- $26.07
- User PnL
- -$13.55
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.56
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
BESTIA position
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Isurus (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group C
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95.8% 52.18 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?No 64% 76.56 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98.6% 53.02 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94.3% 53.02 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94% 26.86 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.6% 26.87 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No 99.6% 23.09 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 98% 23.44 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 98.1% 23.45 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 98% 23.23 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 99% 23.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94.6% 24.21 shares