Polymarket Trader

Iorex

0xc958249081df64c76fd2e522bab419508e185fa9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $696.7
Realized PnL: $3.48K
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $234.49
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $920.64
Multiplier: 4.93x
User PnL: $102.47

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $195.42
Potential payout: $908.93
Potential profit: $713.51
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $57.41

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $102.88
Potential payout: $326.59
Potential profit: $223.72
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $6.92

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $85.14
Potential payout: $321.3
Potential profit: $236.16
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $20.88

Yes position

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $47.12
Potential payout: $136.63
Potential profit: $89.5
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $25.76

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.45
Potential profit: $123.45
User PnL: -$7.16

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $31.64
Potential payout: $47.59
Potential profit: $15.94
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $8.33

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.27
Potential profit: $30.27
User PnL: -$9.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.89K

Yes position

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $355.49

Yes position

Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.67

Yes position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.56

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.88

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.9

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.7

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.4%
Multiplier: 3.94x
User PnL: $34.48

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.91

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.6%
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $15.13

Yes position

Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.42

No position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.02

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.35

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.82

Yes position

Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$10.79

Yes position

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$11.62

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.07

Yes position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.12

Yes position

Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 10.3% 605.17 shares
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 25% 303.76 shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 29.4% 326.59 shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 27% 378.17 shares
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 15.6% 136.63 shares
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 15.6% 205.33 shares
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 8% 715 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 123.45 shares
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Yes 3% 51.37 shares
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 0.1% 11.18 shares
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Yes 3.8% 153.82 shares
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 16.1% 11.18 shares