No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $5.7K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Polymarket Trader
ltmp
0xc9602027a70796249a825df0b2194ab22effb34d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.11K
- Realized PnL
- $4.36K
- Win rate
- 87%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- $283
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
No position
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $977
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $57
Yes position
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $935
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $955
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5
Y
Yes position
Will Jordan finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $745
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $255
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $684.77
- Potential payout
- $719.3
- Potential profit
- $34.53
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $108.3
- Potential payout
- $113.28
- Potential profit
- $4.98
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Y
Yes position
Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $6.73
- Potential payout
- $7.32
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $701.16
Yes position
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $592.8
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $536.91
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460.51
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.55
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.19
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.03
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.42
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.36
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.75
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.3
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 2,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No 90% 1,000 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?No 99% 262.5 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No 90.8% 19.9 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No 70.5% 177.5 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?Yes 83% 22.97 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?Down 96% 337.56 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No 95% 6,751.04 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?Yes 97.4% 300 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?Yes 97.2% 91.05 shares
- Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?Yes 99.8% 6,594.66 shares