No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $3.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
Polymarket Trader
0xc961...db04
0xc961dc05fc00fe86a8d7be9b79a78b62e678db04
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.61K
- Realized PnL
- $211.41
- Win rate
- 72.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $152.68
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.62K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$196.57
Yes position
Trump on $250 bill this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $915
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.3
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.85
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.77
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.52
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.61
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.67
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.49
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.24
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.32
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.14
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
No position
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$283
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.66K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 64.4% 854.44 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 89.1% 1,859.33 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 11?Yes 24.8% 805.55 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes 5.2% 1,923.08 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes 7.8% 1,282.05 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 86.9% 2,300.82 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 60.7% 943.39 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 53% 943.4 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 63% 3,279.04 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 30.5% 3,279.04 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No 99.7% 588.23 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 99.9% 536.68 shares