Polymarket Trader

P4pp4g1org1o

0xc965b97d325a05d8015a1b4cddba3a3dca56e751

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $945.62
Realized PnL: $312.72
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$30.79

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$23.74

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $154.49
Potential payout: $999.92
Potential profit: $845.44
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $114.34

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $44.62
Potential payout: $749.99
Potential profit: $705.37
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$14.87

Yes position

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $684.24
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$38.15

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $8.21
Potential payout: $529.97
Potential profit: $521.76
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $432.5
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$14.5

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $94.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $405.25
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: -$88.45

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $10.7
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $489.3
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$23.67

Yes position

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $55.75
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $444.24
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$9.25

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $25.88
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $424.13
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $10.58

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $58
Potential payout: $400.02
Potential profit: $342.02
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$39

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $163.88
Potential payout: $345
Potential profit: $181.13
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$36.37

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $53
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $147
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$29

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $90.5
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$16.11

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.25
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $9.05

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 41.1%
Current value: $41.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $58.95
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.96
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$71

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $48.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $51.5
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$1.5

Qatar position

Spread: Canada (-5.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$31.5

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $33.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $16.25
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$1.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $47.73

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: $33.3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.31

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $26.62

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.79

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.13

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $6.35

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $5.89

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

France to score first vs. Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Brazil position

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Portugal to score first vs. DR Congo?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 12% 100 shares
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Yes 64% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 55% 145 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 82% 30 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 77% 60 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 12% 300 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 65% 50 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5

Over 68% 30 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Over 55% 50 shares
Portugal to score first vs. DR Congo?

Yes 78% 20 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 39% 100 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 99.3% 15 shares