Polymarket Trader

0xc968...e9d0

0xc968d7ce31ccac39d3feb3bb37ab1ffc16d7e9d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $110.67
Realized PnL: $86.67
Win rate: 14.3%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $592.43
Potential profit: $592.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $472.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $189
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $144.46
Potential profit: $143.74
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $85.24
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $57.81
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$5.31

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $51.28
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $40.25
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 47.7%
Current value: $23.71
Potential payout: $49.75
Potential profit: $26.04
Multiplier: 2.10x
User PnL: $13.71

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $15.62
Potential payout: $47.39
Potential profit: $31.78
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $5.62

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $7.69
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $33.98
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $4.19

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.45
Potential profit: $37.45
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.41

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.28

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.57

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.46

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 4% 125 shares
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Yes 6% 500 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 3?

Yes 26.7% 37.45 shares
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.1% 49.75 shares
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21.1% 47.39 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 39% 51.28 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 10% 200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 39% 51.28 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 10% 200 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 21% 95.24 shares