Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Current value
- $239.75
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 5.22x
- User PnL
- -$12.2
Polymarket Trader
0xc968...ced7
0xc968e6b18d38b2a9ff5eda0bf1e0d0b0134dced7
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $680.91
- Realized PnL
- $117.63
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $22.12
- Potential payout
- $574.5
- Potential profit
- $552.38
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$3.16
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $419.04
- Potential payout
- $524.13
- Potential profit
- $105.09
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$26.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $244.42
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $38.2
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.59
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.75x
- User PnL
- -$12.17
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.49x
- User PnL
- -$32.33
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$123.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 19.7% 587.71 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 4.4% 574.5 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 20.5% 664.26 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 85.1% 111 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 66.3% 725.19 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 33.5% 577.26 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 35.5% 1,267.64 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39.1% 577.26 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97.2% 921.47 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 67.8% 1,037.03 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 51% 123.27 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 49% 908.74 shares