No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $520.88
- Potential payout
- $595.29
- Potential profit
- $74.41
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $75.88
Polymarket Trader
0xc97094D6aeA6E824DCea4F0B188158f7b420fCCF-1769122305044
0xc97094d6aea6e824dcea4f0b188158f7b420fccf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $564.17
- Realized PnL
- $32.18
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $33.44
- Potential payout
- $314
- Potential profit
- $280.56
- Multiplier
- 9.39x
- User PnL
- -$16.87
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $9.85
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $260.15
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$3.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$24.35
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$2.04
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$9.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.73
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.7% 60 shares
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.3% 500 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp 88% 5.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp 90% 5.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp 90% 5.56 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 36% 30.9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 37% 48.13 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 37% 31 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 56% 17.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 62% 16.13 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 63% 15.87 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 49% 4.87 shares