Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 98°F or higher on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $10.09
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Polymarket Trader
Moistnaut
0xc97ec8059025a28f61666d5202292c858b2809ab
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.03
- Realized PnL
- $25.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $10.09
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 79°F or below on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $10.09
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $10.09
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $10.09
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C or higher on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.3
- Potential profit
- $6.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.3
- Potential profit
- $6.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.3
- Potential profit
- $6.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.3
- Potential profit
- $6.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.3
- Potential profit
- $6.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C or below on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.3
- Potential profit
- $6.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.3
- Potential profit
- $6.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.3
- Potential profit
- $6.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.3
- Potential profit
- $6.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.92
- Potential payout
- $5.92
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C or higher on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.57
- Potential profit
- $5.57
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C or below on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $2.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $2.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?No 59% 5.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 4?No 95.8% 1.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?No 60% 5.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?No 97% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 6?No 99.8% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C or below on July 6?No 99.9% 5.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 6?No 99.8% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 6?No 75% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on July 6?No 99.9% 5.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on July 6?No 96.5% 5.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 6?No 66% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 6?No 74% 5 shares