Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $14.01
- Potential payout
- $15.48
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Polymarket Trader
DragonflameForge
0xc9853ec9308d3f7cf16c375294ee65b2a1121728
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.01
- Realized PnL
- $0.3
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Wildcard position
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FarmVille (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 84% 15.48 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 14.29 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?No 99.4% 14.01 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?No 99.9% 14.01 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 14.58 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 96% 14.58 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 92.9% 15.02 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 93.2% 15.02 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 80.4% 17.14 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 93.3% 17.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 17.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 17.02 shares