caprice1

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$49.65

Yes position

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $5.82
Potential payout: $775.77
Potential profit: $769.95
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$4.18

Yes position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $405.1
Potential profit: $405.1
User PnL: -$211.71

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.83
Potential profit: $399.83
User PnL: -$160

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.44
Potential profit: $296.44
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.78
Potential profit: $288.78
User PnL: -$28.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $135.86
Potential payout: $135.93
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $45.86

Yes position

Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.67
Potential profit: $111.67
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.73
Potential profit: $101.73
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.72
Potential profit: $87.72
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $78.13
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $32.73
Potential payout: $77.92
Potential profit: $45.19
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$27.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.55
Potential profit: $77.55
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$60

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.49
Potential profit: $68.49
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Kash Patel out by April 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.35
Potential profit: $61.35
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.35
Potential profit: $56.35
User PnL: -$40

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.8

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.14

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.28

Yes position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $38.71

Yes position

Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.37

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.55

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.71

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.57

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.94

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.58

Yes position

Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.67

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.26

No position

Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.62

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.32

No position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET