Crypto2030

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $99.4
Potential payout: $484.89
Potential profit: $385.48
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $35.53
Potential payout: $418
Potential profit: $382.47
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $108.39
Potential payout: $409
Potential profit: $300.62
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $10.23

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $10.94
Potential payout: $371
Potential profit: $360.06
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $278.89
Potential profit: $278.89
User PnL: -$2.51

Yes position

Will Apple reach $352 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.18
Potential profit: $228.18
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will Willie Green win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.43
Potential profit: $190.43
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

HumidiFi FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $69.83
Potential payout: $133
Potential profit: $63.18
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $5.99

Yes position

VOOI FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.7
Potential profit: $110.7
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.82
Potential profit: $107.82
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $106
User PnL: -$10.6

Yes position

Will Jalen Suggs win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.9
Potential profit: $98.9
User PnL: -$7.44

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $44.62
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $47.38
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $11.98

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$5.2

No position

o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.09
Potential profit: $73.09
User PnL: -$17.54

Yes position

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.6
Potential profit: $68.6
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $3.83
Potential payout: $67.85
Potential profit: $64.01
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Infinex FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.29
Potential profit: $65.29
User PnL: -$1.44

No position

Will Infrared launch a token by March 31 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.03
Potential profit: $56.03
User PnL: -$16.81

Yes position

Will Paradex launch a token by December 31 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alex Caruso win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108.34

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.87

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 27%
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $12.49

Yes position

Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $6.69

Yes position

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

AFD deaths foul play confirmed in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Jon M. Chu win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?