Polymarket Trader

PMer

@justforlonger

0xc9ae86dc1990fe43a19eccdc4e7ff1263dddef9c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $371.2
Realized PnL: $2.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11K
Potential profit: $11.11K
User PnL: -$88.87

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.69K
Potential profit: $10.69K
User PnL: -$106.28

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.52K
Potential profit: $8.52K
User PnL: -$1.19K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.11K
Potential profit: $8.11K
User PnL: -$103.85

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.05K
Potential profit: $8.05K
User PnL: -$139.99

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$129.99

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.78K
Potential profit: $7.78K
User PnL: -$132.21

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$87.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.62K
Potential profit: $5.62K
User PnL: -$16.85

Canada position

T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs Canada (Game 1)

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.4K
Potential profit: $5.4K
User PnL: -$702

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $3.9K
User PnL: -$19.5

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$43.33

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $3.19K
User PnL: -$22.34

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: -$750.65

Yes position

Will BNK FEARX win the LCK Cup 2026?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$97.61

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
User PnL: -$43.4

Yes position

Will "Scream 7" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $878
Potential profit: $878
User PnL: -$12.29

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $547.87
Potential profit: $547.87
User PnL: -$367.07

No position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $371.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $28.8
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $23.2

Karmine Corp position

LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $372.56
Potential profit: $372.56
User PnL: -$48.43

BNK FEARX position

LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$56

BNK FEARX position

LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.97
Potential profit: $199.97
User PnL: -$55.99

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152
Potential profit: $152
User PnL: -$145.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Oh My God position

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $801.54

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $351.72

No position

Megaquake by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.23

BNK FEARX position

LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.49

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.22

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.69

No position

Solana all time high before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.63

No position

Megaquake by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.47

No position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.43

DN SOOPers Challengers position

LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stage

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

No position

Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.12

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.08

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.6

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.52

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.2

Yes position

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $14.81

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.11

No position

Will Dplus Kia win the LCK Cup 2026?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.81

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Yes 32% 2,345.79 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?

No 99% 100 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

No 98.9% 65.55 shares
Will Dplus Kia win the LCK Cup 2026?

No 89% 116.41 shares
Will BNK FEARX win the LCK Cup 2026?

Yes 5% 46.9 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?

No 99.9% 132 shares
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner

Team Liquid 89% 9.2 shares
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Weibo Gaming 91% 121.38 shares
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 7,777 shares
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 1,000 shares
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 2,000 shares
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Yes 2.7% 100 shares