Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Polymarket Trader
trent506ben
0xc9af2fdd490a0a472ee9e94d0c269a04d711362e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $10.59
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.68
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the Jaguars draft Travis Hunter in 2025?
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 70% 4 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 5.4% 33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 73% 38 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 2.7% 88 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 26% 78 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 26% 78 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 11% 110 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 12% 151 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 72% 15 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 72% 72 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 68% 84 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 67% 84 shares