Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $5.7
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $9.3
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Polymarket Trader
0xC9aF414fC65a46dEb62AF26F75799bFAF53F91e5-1779763576505
0xc9af414fc65a46deb62af26f75799bfaf53f91e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.02
- Realized PnL
- $99.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Yes position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $11.77
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.37
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $3.88
- Potential payout
- $14.66
- Potential profit
- $10.78
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $10.01
- User PnL
- -$3.65
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.55
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $5.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.15
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.75
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.18
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
No position
Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $9.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.85
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $4.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.6
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.75
No position
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.9%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.42
- Multiplier
- 2.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
No position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.25
No position
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.45
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.24
- Multiplier
- 5.68x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.39
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.3
N
No position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.65
No position
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $4.17
N
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 31%
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $2.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in June?No 33% 5 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 74% 5 shares
- Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 45% 5 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 64% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 61% 5 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 59% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 24.2% 5 shares
- Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in June?No 59% 5 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 41% 5 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 35% 5 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 40% 5 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No 31% 5 shares