No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.5
- Potential profit
- $32.5
- User PnL
- -$13
Polymarket Trader
963214
0xc9bb3a2effd98fa19085d62489b5cbe2071d52ff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.98
- Realized PnL
- -$2.78
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $15.98
- Potential payout
- $19.14
- Potential profit
- $3.16
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.17
No position
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?No 40% 32.5 shares
- Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Yes 62.7% 19.14 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 86% 103.44 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 87% 103.45 shares
- US strike on Mexico by March 31?No 94% 97.82 shares
- US strike on Mexico by March 31?No 92% 97.83 shares
- Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No 96.7% 93.75 shares
- Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No 99.2% 93.75 shares
- Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?No 99.5% 93.37 shares
- Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?No 99.6% 93.37 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 73% 121.68 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 74% 121.69 shares