LXRlucky

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $53.27
Potential payout: $530
Potential profit: $476.74
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$28.38

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $20.96
Potential payout: $325
Potential profit: $304.04
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$10.21

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $20.91
Potential payout: $324.16
Potential profit: $303.25
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$3.48

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 34.7%
Current value: $112.56
Potential payout: $324
Potential profit: $211.44
Multiplier: 2.88x
User PnL: $60.39

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $26.41
Potential payout: $324
Potential profit: $297.59
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$8.91

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $59.78
Potential payout: $324
Potential profit: $264.22
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $31.91

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324
Potential profit: $324
User PnL: -$13.28

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324
Potential profit: $324
User PnL: -$17.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33.8%
Current value: $33.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $66.25
Multiplier: 2.96x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $3.54
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.46
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $45.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $54.5
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $10.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$18

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $15.12
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $2.88
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.18

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.88

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.41

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.54

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.38

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $9

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.8

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.68

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET