Polymarket Trader

okx-wallet-04

0xc9c53c1b1aeaeb24dbce90628bd8db79004d43ee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.76
Realized PnL: $36.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.94
Potential profit: $222.94
User PnL: -$18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.52
Potential profit: $136.52
User PnL: -$1.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.72
Potential profit: $82.72
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $25.25
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.14
Potential profit: $23.14
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.55
Potential profit: $14.55
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.04
Potential profit: $8.04
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $3.97
Potential payout: $7.78
Potential profit: $3.81
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$0.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.01
Potential profit: $6.01
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $5.71
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $1.4
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $1.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 13?

Yes 60% 3.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 13?

No 65% 3.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 13?

Yes 45% 4.44 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 13?

Yes 50% 11.65 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 13?

Yes 37% 5.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 13?

Yes 32% 6.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?

No 99.5% 2.18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?

No 91.7% 2.18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?

Yes 11.5% 29.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?

Yes 6.8% 29.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 13?

No 99.7% 2.02 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 13?

No 99% 2.02 shares