Polymarket Trader

allaryabova

0xc9e8b90a9280a750edca376723f7c6ef37ccb9d1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $224.74
Realized PnL: $28.04
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $65.35
Potential payout: $66.65
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.34
Potential payout: $29.34
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 25-31?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $28.31
Potential payout: $28.31
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $27.57
Potential payout: $27.73
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $26.56
Potential payout: $26.56
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.04
Potential profit: $26.04
User PnL: -$24.22

No position

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $23.95
Potential payout: $26.02
Potential profit: $2.07
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $23.65
Potential payout: $23.73
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Valentin Vacherot win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.33
Potential profit: $21.33
User PnL: -$20.8

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 October 6-12?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.81
Potential profit: $20.81
User PnL: -$20.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the match between Lazio and Porto end in a draw?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.99

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Yes position

Will Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will SOL flip ETH before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Joe Biden attend Super Bowl LIX?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

No position

US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Elon Musk arrested in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

100+ Bird Flu cases by Friday?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

2024 November hottest on record?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will February be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.7% 66.65 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

No 97.9% 23.73 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 25-31?

No 99.3% 28.31 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

No 99.2% 29.34 shares
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

No 98.9% 26.56 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 96.8% 27.73 shares
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

No 93.5% 26.02 shares
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

No 99.6% 22.52 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5?

No 96.4% 23.34 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

No 97% 22.2 shares
Will Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?

Yes 97.8% 108.05 shares
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?

No 93% 26.04 shares