Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $2.6
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Polymarket Trader
sheppard
0xc9e9bdab4ee538ab8417a585f94be6ee225e0574
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.05
- Realized PnL
- $3.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
BNK FEARX position
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Team Liquid position
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 23–30?
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 2?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 77% 2.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 18?No 99.7% 1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 17?Yes 99.9% 2 shares
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsVitality 74% 1.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 16?No 97% 1.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 16?No 99.2% 1.01 shares
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BNK FEARX 65% 1.52 shares
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Liquid 74% 1.34 shares
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming 66% 1.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on April 10?No 99.6% 5.02 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?No 98.9% 5.26 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?No 98.9% 5.2 shares