Polymarket Trader

liquidityman

@subarumm3

0xc9f8821b90fbdf9039d743aa731859b0c2f139e4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.41K
Realized PnL: $731.96
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $338
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $62
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $138

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82.8%
Current value: $260.85
Potential payout: $315.23
Potential profit: $54.38
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$6.15

No position

USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.24
Potential profit: $254.24
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $172.6
Potential payout: $244.83
Potential profit: $72.22
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $30.6

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $27.68
Potential payout: $190.91
Potential profit: $163.23
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$35.32

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $111.03
Potential payout: $180.68
Potential profit: $69.65
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$47.97

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $38.6
Potential payout: $171.92
Potential profit: $133.32
Multiplier: 4.45x
User PnL: -$61.4

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.59
Potential profit: $138.59
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $130.2
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $4.93
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $30.2

Yes position

Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.5
Potential profit: $127.5
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$18

No position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.68
Potential profit: $119.68
User PnL: -$94

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.48
Potential profit: $107.48
User PnL: -$30

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $72.39
Potential payout: $105.68
Potential profit: $33.29
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$20.61

No position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $95.21
Potential payout: $101.13
Potential profit: $5.92
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$84

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $33.55
Potential payout: $90.67
Potential profit: $57.12
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$34.45

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22.4%
Current value: $16.39
Potential payout: $73.17
Potential profit: $56.78
Multiplier: 4.46x
User PnL: -$13.61

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $70.04
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $52.01
Potential payout: $69.35
Potential profit: $17.34
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$5.99

No position

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $56.22
Potential payout: $61.11
Potential profit: $4.89
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.5

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.07

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.32

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.95

No position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.09

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.59

No position

Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.28

No position

Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.96

Yes position

Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.63

Yes position

Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

No position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.31

No position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.56

No position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.27

No position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

MIBR position

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.78

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

T1 position

LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.46

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Over position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

24.3% 20.08 shares
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Yes 57% 10 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 37% 20 shares
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

45.2% 10.86 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total Corners AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

24.5% 19.92 shares
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

23.4% 20.82 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

31.5% 15.51 shares
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

41.2% 11.91 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

95.6% 10.51 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

46.8% 10.51 shares
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: Spain (-1.5)

31.2% 15.7 shares
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) AND Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

51.7% 10.01 shares