Polymarket Trader

maxdawg

@maxdothl

0xc9f9a7610efa67b8614c3152f50af2bd9db6c5e8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.01K
Realized PnL: $73.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $239.61
Potential payout: $9.43K
Potential profit: $9.19K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$109.25

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.92K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $4.46K
Potential profit: $3.08K
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $418.72

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.03K
Potential profit: $4.03K
User PnL: -$1.77K

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $281.97
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$408.17

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $507.13
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$735.15

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $423.74
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$717.35

No position

Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $700.95
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$99.57

Yes position

Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $940
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $0

No position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $811.88
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $589.12
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $283.75

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $70.03
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$95.64

Yes position

Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $275
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $725
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $128.18
Potential payout: $986
Potential profit: $857.82
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $53.14

Yes position

Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $38.7
Potential payout: $645
Potential profit: $606.3
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$101.5

Yes position

Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $4.27
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.68
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$1.98

No position

Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $0.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.01K

No position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.93K

No position

Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32K

No position

Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.31K

No position

Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4K

No position

Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66K

No position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51K

No position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

No position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6K

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.38K

No position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

No position

Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74.4%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

No position

Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $983.77

No position

StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $947.79

No position

Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $914.77

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $909.07

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $899.9

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $869.2

No position

Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $846.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 40.6% 250 shares
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 19% 1,185 shares
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 18% 169 shares
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes 7% 384 shares
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 53% 2,000 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 5,000 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 37.7% 1,358 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 37.6% 43 shares
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Yes 25% 2,500 shares
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 25% 406.39 shares
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 24% 113 shares
Will QFEX launch a token by March 31, 2026?

No 99% 1,810 shares