Polymarket Trader

dmoe

0xc9feb0779738cb4689f2c9c15c08e117d9b9afec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $619.69
Realized PnL: $102.56
Win rate: 86.7%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $549.72
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $36.73

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.15

No position

Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

No position

Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.5

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.63

No position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.55 before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.39

Yes position

RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Yes position

Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Was Milei hacked?

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

Yes 94% 100 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

Yes 94% 200 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Yes 94% 602.46 shares
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?

Yes 98% 500 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Yes 98.5% 550 shares
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?

No 25.1% 33 shares
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?

No 22.5% 433.95 shares
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?

Yes 18.2% 516.32 shares
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?

Yes 18.1% 71 shares
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?

Yes 18.2% 29 shares
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?

Yes 18.1% 86.51 shares
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?

Yes 18.1% 36.98 shares