Polymarket Trader

hungabunga1

0xca07ed6010e17d502bd92512c846797cbd61d665

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $242.08
Realized PnL: $844.71
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $5.03K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.74K
Potential profit: $4.74K
User PnL: -$217

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.79K
Potential profit: $3.79K
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $2.57K
User PnL: -$103.46

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$300

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $100.45
Potential payout: $717.52
Potential profit: $617.06
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$14.3

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $512.5
Potential profit: $512.5
User PnL: -$41

Yes position

Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $484.05
Potential profit: $484.05
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338.35
Potential profit: $338.35
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Tucker Carlson federally charged?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $331.67
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$18.33

Yes position

Joe Kent charged by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $18.33
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $315
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $287.18
Potential profit: $287.18
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $271.77
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$29.05

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.77
Potential profit: $255.77
User PnL: -$49.04

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $250.79
Potential profit: $248.78
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$27.99

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $118.67
Potential payout: $206.38
Potential profit: $87.71
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $21.67

Yes position

Will Iran strike Leviathan Field by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.9
Potential profit: $205.9
User PnL: -$10

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184.14
Potential profit: $184.14
User PnL: -$66

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.32
Potential profit: $111.32
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $452.98

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $150.1

No position

US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.48

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.43

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.49

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.45

No position

S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.6

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $19.66

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $19.37

No position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.97

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$5.18

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$31.26

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.8

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$60.97

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Yes 35.8% 184.14 shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Yes 12.6% 547.55 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 47% 206.38 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 14% 689.36 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 16% 1,406.88 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 75% 268.88 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Yes 3.2% 752.35 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 85% 96.47 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 32% 255.88 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 34% 255.88 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

Yes 22.5% 111.32 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 12?

Yes 19.2% 255.77 shares