No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $239.11
- Potential payout
- $270.34
- Potential profit
- $31.22
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Polymarket Trader
0xca08...c267
0xca08d6c4f044ff2d751d30abe51479c50026c267
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $863.36
- Realized PnL
- $1.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $90.06
- Potential payout
- $93.57
- Potential profit
- $3.51
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $9.68
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $66.36
- Potential payout
- $79
- Potential profit
- $12.64
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $9.97
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $72.2
- Potential profit
- $72.09
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$21.55
No position
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $59.98
- Potential payout
- $62.32
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $12.37
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $55.51
- Potential payout
- $57.73
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.22
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $32.88
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $15.12
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $19.55
- Potential payout
- $43.94
- Potential profit
- $24.38
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$7.39
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Current value
- $32.31
- Potential payout
- $38.42
- Potential profit
- $6.11
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Yes position
Will Falcons reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $3.39
- Potential payout
- $37.64
- Potential profit
- $34.25
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $33.93
- Potential payout
- $36.68
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $34.68
- Potential payout
- $36.22
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $22.79
- Potential payout
- $29.4
- Potential profit
- $6.62
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $23.23
- Potential payout
- $26.85
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $21.11
- Potential payout
- $22.82
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $21.48
- Potential payout
- $22.74
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.83
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $19.13
- Potential payout
- $21.62
- Potential profit
- $2.49
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.8%
- Current value
- $18.8
- Potential payout
- $20.5
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $16.43
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $12.36
- Potential payout
- $17.05
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $4.86
No position
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $15.2
- Potential payout
- $16.62
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $16.48
- Potential profit
- $6.51
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $14.29
- Potential payout
- $15.05
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $14.55
- Potential payout
- $14.58
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $3.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.92
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.53
Under position
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.53
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.09
Weibo Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.32
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.59
G2 position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.14
Weibo Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.07
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.99
Team WE position
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.63
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.04
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.29
G2 position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.89
Under position
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.78
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.12
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.05
Kiwoom DRX position
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.72
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.24
No position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Visa" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 98% 6.24 shares
- Will the announcers say "Visa" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 98% 2.1 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 14% 1.25 shares
- Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?No 90% 2.22 shares
- Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?Yes 89.5% 3.58 shares
- Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 73% 2.17 shares
- Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 73% 1.07 shares
- Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?No 88.1% 2.17 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes 45% 58.96 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 41% 28.55 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 42.4% 26.61 shares
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?No 80% 2.36 shares