Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $7.4K
- Potential profit
- $5.97K
- Multiplier
- 5.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.01K
Polymarket Trader
abian123
0xca0ae5085fabc743197b8c47f9f554929d948203
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.44K
- Realized PnL
- -$551.84
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.71
- Multiplier
- 8.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.28
- Potential profit
- $18.28
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $8.41
- Potential profit
- $7.7
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$4.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.5
Over position
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
Yes position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.9
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.78
Yes position
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,070,000 and $1,080,000 by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.25
Yes position
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$188.75
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$381.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes 18% 18.28 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 64% 8.41 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 33% 7,401.06 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 12% 20,339.79 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20% 20 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 47% 1,063.83 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 14% 17,857.71 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 47% 1,063.83 shares
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over 86% 15.12 shares
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over 86% 1.16 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 53% 100 shares
- Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Yes 27% 226.71 shares