Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $28.31
- Potential payout
- $572
- Potential profit
- $543.69
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $7.15
Polymarket Trader
0xca11...4ce9
0xca111dca8761268c0d7801917fbf0afce8504ce9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $558.02
- Realized PnL
- -$142.49
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $529.7
- Potential payout
- $549.2
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- -$3.93
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.37x
- User PnL
- -$15.99
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$17.32
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$105.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 15.9% 799.55 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.9% 799.55 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 3.7% 572 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 20% 151.62 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 13% 809.67 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 16% 432.92 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 20% 584.54 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 82.8% 681.39 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 41.8% 1,309.92 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 42.1% 1,309.92 shares