Polymarket Trader

chaosj88

@chaoshunjie89

0xca12d28728c46d3484395243f5f842f2c321ea03

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.53K
Realized PnL: $10.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 33.2%
Current value: $4.97K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $10.03K
Multiplier: 3.02x
User PnL: -$2.53K

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 66.9%
Current value: $10.03K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $4.97K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $2.53K

Yes position

between 39 and 41 million views

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$12.92

No position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $630.27
Potential profit: $630.27
User PnL: -$6.3

Down position

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 37 and 39 million views on day 2?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.58
Potential profit: $476.58
User PnL: -$5.79

Up position

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $249.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $99.88

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$11.4

No position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $197.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $165
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $185.26
Potential profit: $185.16
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.99

Over position

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $184.91
Potential payout: $185
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $0.09

X-CAST position

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ARETE (-2.5) vs X-CAST (+2.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $184.91
Potential payout: $185
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $172.13
Potential payout: $181.57
Potential profit: $9.44
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $72.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.7
Potential profit: $99.7
User PnL: -$2.24

No position

Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $74.28
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $5.72
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.96

No position

Will Drake have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $62.55
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $7.45
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.12
Potential profit: $60.12
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Kanye West have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $48.65
Potential payout: $51.48
Potential profit: $2.83
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.68
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$45.43

No position

Will Coldplay have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $43.36
Potential payout: $45.64
Potential profit: $2.28
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.83

No position

Will The Weeknd have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $43.65
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $9.55

Under position

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $34.83
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: -$0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82K

Yes position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $810.44

Yes position

Will "Forbidden Fruits" score at least 79 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $728.65

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $659.25

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $578.25

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $561.92

Yes position

Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.6

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 63 million views on day 4?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $468.3

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $402.07

Yes position

Will "Melania" score at least 10 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $394.42

Yes position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.82

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.68

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.58

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.15

No position

Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.65

Yes position

Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $191.17

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $183.11

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.43

No position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.78

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.75

Yes position

Will monthly inflation be between 2.9% and 3.1% in January?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.8

No position

Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.95

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Set 2 Winner: Cengiz vs Korokozidi

Cengiz 99.9% 14 shares
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ARETE (-2.5) vs X-CAST (+2.5)

X-CAST 99.9% 185 shares
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Over 99.9% 185 shares
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?

Under 99.9% 35 shares
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?

Under 99.9% 35 shares
Bojica vs. Ogescu: Match O/U 21.5

Over 99.9% 8 shares
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Under 99.9% 35 shares
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ARETE (-2.5) vs X-CAST (+2.5)

X-CAST 99.9% 35 shares
Verdu vs. Mettraux: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Under 99.9% 13 shares
Rachapudi vs. Mi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Under 99.9% 14 shares
ITF Women Bucharest: Completed Match: Alessia Marinescu vs Sara Victoria Balan

No 99.9% 14 shares
Hiromi Abe vs. Kristiana Sidorova: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Under 2.5 99.9% 14 shares