Polymarket Trader

tsybulka

0xca23111ccc44df5c9196627c875a72746a92f403

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.7K
Realized PnL: $3.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $73.63
Potential payout: $626.66
Potential profit: $553.03
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $22.87

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $492.21
Potential payout: $562.53
Potential profit: $70.32
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $41.64

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $430.23
Potential payout: $435.67
Potential profit: $5.45
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $84.76

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $134.71
Potential payout: $280.64
Potential profit: $145.93
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $7.38

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.8%
Current value: $182.43
Potential payout: $220.46
Potential profit: $38.03
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$3.33

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $54.68
Potential payout: $104.15
Potential profit: $49.47
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $4.48

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $84.69
Potential payout: $86.2
Potential profit: $1.51
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $71.15
Potential payout: $82.26
Potential profit: $11.11
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.58

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$49.2

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $34.8
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $25.2
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $46.88
Potential profit: $46.29
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$5.04

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.91
Potential profit: $44.91
User PnL: -$9.14

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $34.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $5.8
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $3

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $18.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $21.2
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.58
Potential profit: $39.58
User PnL: -$4.61

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $23.55
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $6.45
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $20.9
Potential payout: $21.95
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.5
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.08
Potential profit: $11.08
User PnL: -$6.12

Yes position

Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.32
Potential profit: $10.32
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.2
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.69
Potential profit: $9.69
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.57
Potential profit: $9.57
User PnL: -$0.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $793.92

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.57

No position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.19

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.7

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.08

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175

No position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.6

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.74

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.55

No position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.42

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.55

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.18

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.74

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.55

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.61

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.12

Yes position

Will Scotland win?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.85

No position

Will England win?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.49

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.52

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.47

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.7% 14.2 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 79% 20 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 43% 20 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 43% 40 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 45% 17 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 45% 19.5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 46% 20 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 46% 20 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 48% 20 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 48% 20 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 26% 20 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 28% 22.07 shares