Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $152.57
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$91.54
Polymarket Trader
kakasi
0xca2d5f8a8b5f7ff01c1ee99457111f8825ec2251
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $590.61
- Realized PnL
- $444.59
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $212.34
- Potential payout
- $396.9
- Potential profit
- $184.56
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $12.34
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $225.71
- Potential payout
- $379.34
- Potential profit
- $153.63
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $25.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.5
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200.93
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $69.23
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.03
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.76
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$42.64
Yes position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52.7% 379.34 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 50.4% 396.9 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 80% 461.53 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 65% 461.54 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 14% 505.14 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes 29.8% 268.2 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 99.1% 404.57 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes 18.6% 268.2 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 9.9% 505.15 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 49.4% 404.58 shares
- Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Yes 40.5% 399.99 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 39% 147.05 shares