Polymarket Trader

PragueSizeLord

0xca2d945f95696725afb3cf9e4524b1e6e281a538

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.72
Realized PnL: $219.55
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $267.9
Potential profit: $267.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $141.79
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $3.21
Potential payout: $74.72
Potential profit: $71.51
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $60.73
Potential profit: $59.85
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$4.12

Yes position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.98

Yes position

Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $48.58
Potential profit: $48.17
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $30.44
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.32
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $23.71
Potential profit: $23.69
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $18.32
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $12.27
Potential profit: $10.57
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $2.41
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $9.79
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.46
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.92
Potential profit: $4.92
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $47.64

Yes position

Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.67

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.42

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.17

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

Yes position

Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be 84°F or higher on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.45

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will Metodej Jilek (CZE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.24

No position

Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: $4.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 67% 5.97 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 47% 6.38 shares
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 72% 6.94 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.5% 30.41 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.3% 12.27 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.4% 12.2 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 19.23 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 32.26 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 71% 4.23 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 4.48 shares