Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $216.84
- Potential payout
- $86.74K
- Potential profit
- $86.52K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$116.49
Polymarket Trader
fatpapi
0xca334ba9a3ad086f0fce66d2b073d1f6c5c7918c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.18K
- Realized PnL
- $120.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $14.98K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.05K
- Potential profit
- $11.05K
- User PnL
- -$405.44
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $9.98K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- $80.03
Yes position
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $845
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $155
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $60.15
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $597.3
- Potential payout
- $599.09
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- User PnL
- $4.74
No position
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $523.96
- Potential payout
- $548.64
- Potential profit
- $24.69
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $13.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.35K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.79K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.78K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.43K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.57K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.29K
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Yes position
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $515.07
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $478.08
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.99
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.97
No position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.02
Miami position
Miami vs. Ohio State
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295
No position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.02
Panthers position
Spread: Rams (-7.5)
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.49
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.72
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.32
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.8
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes 73% 58.52 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?No 99.7% 1,910 shares
- Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes 80% 500 shares
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?No 90% 72.89 shares
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?No 77% 28.8 shares
- Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes 77% 500 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 98.9% 222.87 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?No 99% 250 shares
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes 99.9% 5,000 shares
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?No 67% 999.99 shares
- Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.3% 200.01 shares
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes 97.1% 1,110 shares