Polymarket Trader

itsSHJ

0xca4c82333671083823ab3e376fa0c791c7eb0ced

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.95
Realized PnL: $271.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $631.32
Potential profit: $631
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.69

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.64
Potential profit: $152.64
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.7
Potential profit: $84.7
User PnL: -$22.7

Vancouver Surge position

Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Vancouver Surge (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Minor Playoffs

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.38
Potential profit: $66.38
User PnL: -$30

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.55
Potential profit: $34.55
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $16.14
Potential profit: $12.51
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $10.31
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.56
Potential profit: $9.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.38
Potential profit: $6.38
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.69
Potential profit: $4.69
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.65
Potential profit: $4.65
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.78
Potential profit: $3.78
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.39
Potential profit: $3.39
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.61
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.29

No position

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.91

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59

No position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.89

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

Yes 1.6% 381.31 shares
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

Yes 29.9% 27.77 shares
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

Yes 14.2% 32.22 shares
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

Yes 10% 10 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 4.16 shares
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

Yes 9% 22.22 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Yes 7% 35.71 shares
Sweden leading at halftime?

Yes 11% 10 shares
Sweden leading at halftime?

Yes 20% 10 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares