Polymarket Trader

0xca4fD83caAACba5EfCF07E4c203F62d6Ea63ddc4-1775921299305

0xca4fd83caaacba5efcf07e4c203f62d6ea63ddc4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.7K
Realized PnL: $419.52
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $4.7K
Potential payout: $4.92K
Potential profit: $216.31
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $800.8

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $975
Potential profit: $975
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $389.29
Potential profit: $389.29
User PnL: -$159.61

Knicks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.99
Potential profit: $142.99
User PnL: -$100.09

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.18
Potential profit: $137.18
User PnL: -$0.96

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.81
Potential profit: $107.81
User PnL: -$0.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.87
Potential profit: $92.87
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.62
Potential profit: $13.62
User PnL: -$0.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$0.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.35
Potential profit: $9.35
User PnL: -$0.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.51
Potential profit: $8.51
User PnL: -$0.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $3.08
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Team Vitality position

LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.15

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.67

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.27

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

LYON position

LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

No position

Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 41% 389.29 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 85.5% 1.17 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 85.5% 2,595.33 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 91% 653.99 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 70% 1,915.14 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 69% 27.54 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 69% 289.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Down 65% 1.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Down 65% 1.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Up 64% 1.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Down 77% 1.3 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 65.4% 812.72 shares