Polymarket Trader

trumpusan

0xca528492d60ca4085bdef42b37f7bc0cab3d49e8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.41K
Realized PnL: $5.8K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.66K
Potential profit: $6.66K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$700

Yes position

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $545.35
Potential payout: $908.91
Potential profit: $363.56
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$54.65

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $378.72
Potential payout: $851.06
Potential profit: $472.34
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$21.28

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $472.13
Potential payout: $669.69
Potential profit: $197.56
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$27.87

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $666.67
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $266.67

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $336.54
Potential payout: $641.03
Potential profit: $304.49
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$163.46

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $517.46
Potential payout: $594.78
Potential profit: $77.32
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $17.46

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $242.45
Potential payout: $505.09
Potential profit: $262.65
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$57.55

Yes position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $221.85
Potential payout: $504.2
Potential profit: $282.35
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$78.15

Yes position

Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $32.72
Potential payout: $311.62
Potential profit: $278.9
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$67.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $588.55

Yes position

Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $533.09

Yes position

Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $522.88

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.6

Yes position

Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.94

Yes position

Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.12

Yes position

Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.12

Yes position

Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.78

No position

Trump signs national abortion ban?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.92

Yes position

RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.32

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.42

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.28

Yes position

Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.57

Yes position

Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.48

Yes position

Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.76

Yes position

Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.22

No position

Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$34.1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$46.88

Yes position

Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$62.75

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$67.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$85.29

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$140.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 40% 750 shares
Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Yes 4.3% 862.26 shares
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 66.1% 453.79 shares
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Yes 59.4% 505.09 shares
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 65.9% 455.12 shares
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Yes 15.8% 924.1 shares
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Yes 84.1% 594.78 shares
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Yes 74.7% 669.69 shares
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 78% 641.03 shares
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 32.1% 311.62 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 47% 851.06 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 72% 555.56 shares