Polymarket Trader

akhk1245

0xca60c773140cf1de5b534afd4c817e91741e310d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.71
Realized PnL: $333.04
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $140.26
Potential profit: $139.34
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$11.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.85
Potential profit: $121.85
User PnL: -$31.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.5
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $6.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.65
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.6
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.65
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $85.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $10.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.82

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $27.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $24

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $22.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $18.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.71

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 6% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 2.2% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 26% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 26% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 26% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 26% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 26% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 7% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 7% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 8% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 8% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 40 shares