No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$5.82K
Polymarket Trader
mcduck
0xca62d607db80661b987badf01abb499eee5afbfa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $170.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $2.71K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $647.03
- Potential profit
- $647.03
- User PnL
- -$491.74
No position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.34K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.55K
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.18K
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.94K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91K
Yes position
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92K
Yes position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.74K
Yes position
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30?
Ends Jun 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9K
No position
Was Caitlyn Jenner hacked?
Ends May 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23K
No position
Is $DJT real?
Ends Jun 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8K
No position
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61K
Yes position
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Democratic position
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?
Ends Nov 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 793924.87x
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?
Ends Jul 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?No 42% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99% 6,711.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99% 980.19 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99% 42,308.71 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 272,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 87% 4,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 35% 1,012.75 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 39% 1,012.75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 76% 3,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 75% 99.18 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 97.3% 15,000 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 95.7% 120 shares