Polymarket Trader

AmyAnderson9947

0xca679bb4382440f1b07ce3eb78f5e874f2782648

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $182.27
Realized PnL: $636.37
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $376
Potential profit: $376
User PnL: -$30.86

No position

Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $173.85
Potential payout: $285
Potential profit: $111.15
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $88.35

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259
Potential profit: $259
User PnL: -$98.94

Yes position

Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214
Potential profit: $214
User PnL: -$40.66

Yes position

Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183
Potential profit: $183
User PnL: -$39.89

Yes position

Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148
Potential profit: $148
User PnL: -$96.2

Yes position

Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.41
Potential profit: $122.41
User PnL: -$20.81

Yes position

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 9?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108
Potential profit: $108
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will "Olympics" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$2.02

Yes position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $8.42
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $90.59
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$13.37

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91
Potential profit: $91
User PnL: -$1.09

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.61
Potential profit: $82.61
User PnL: -$47.91

No position

Will Trump say "Hannukah" or "Kwanzaa" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $82
User PnL: -$68.68

Yes position

Discord IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71
Potential profit: $71
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68
Potential profit: $68
User PnL: -$10.88

No position

Will "Goal" be said 5+ times during the World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$4.76

Yes position

20+ trapped Hamas fighters allowed to leave in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $62
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will Trump say "Inflation" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $61
User PnL: -$13.42

Yes position

Will Martin Kabrhel be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$1.98

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $57
User PnL: -$19.95

No position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $53
User PnL: -$20.14

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $52
User PnL: -$1.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Brandon Steven be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.33

No position

Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.54

Yes position

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $38.55

No position

Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.55

No position

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.24

No position

Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.64

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.68

Yes position

Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 57%
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $24.78

Yes position

Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.23

No position

Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.18

No position

Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.02

No position

Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $20.6

Yes position

Will FrankResearcher win the competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.36

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.2

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.04

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.78

Yes position

Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.88

Yes position

Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $13.8

Yes position

Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.76

Yes position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.58

Yes position

Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13

No position

Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.88

Yes position

Will Owen Cooper (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

No 74% 19 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 57% 690 shares
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?

Yes 14% 171 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?

Yes 12% 246 shares
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 90.3% 30 shares
Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)

Yes 67% 20 shares
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 14% 210 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 55% 484 shares
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Divisional Round?

No 66% 738 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 55% 206 shares
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?

No 93% 128 shares
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 66% 413 shares