Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $346.92
- Potential payout
- $472
- Potential profit
- $125.08
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $35.4
Polymarket Trader
ErikaBlackwell5731
0xca67a3c5e2ec1ccca4769f16dd59e2bfb474703c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $414.84
- Realized PnL
- $3.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $17.08
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $38.92
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$31.08
No position
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $42.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7.25
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will UConn advance to the Final Four?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.19
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.5
Under position
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.12
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $189.98
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $176.8
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.84
Over position
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.87
No position
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.28
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $78.13
No position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.64
No position
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.71
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.86
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.71
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.75
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.62
Yes position
Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49
Yes position
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.93
No position
Will Trump say "Mental institution" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.88
Yes position
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $47.6
Yes position
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $46.41
Y
Yes position
Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.54
No position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No 48.8% 514 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No 48.6% 852 shares
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 87% 336 shares
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 87% 784 shares
- Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 51% 925 shares
- Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 51% 83 shares
- Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes 52% 81 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 70% 1,049 shares
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 89% 1,120 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 54% 1,049 shares
- Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 59% 1,008 shares
- Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?No 45% 541 shares