Polymarket Trader

sb911

0xca6e9879b0a83eb471f974e159f2483c08b546f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $270.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.18K
Potential profit: $124.18K
User PnL: -$5.26K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.43K
Potential profit: $104.43K
User PnL: -$3.01K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.98K
Potential profit: $101.98K
User PnL: -$7.81K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$482.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.94K
Potential profit: $98.94K
User PnL: -$3.11K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.02K
Potential profit: $98.02K
User PnL: -$457.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98K
Potential profit: $98K
User PnL: -$427.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97K
Potential profit: $97K
User PnL: -$162.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.88K
Potential profit: $91.88K
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.47K
Potential profit: $89.47K
User PnL: -$4.58K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.28K
Potential profit: $89.28K
User PnL: -$1.69K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.52K
Potential profit: $82.52K
User PnL: -$459.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.13K
Potential profit: $79.13K
User PnL: -$2.8K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.89K
Potential profit: $75.89K
User PnL: -$1.88K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.99K
Potential profit: $72.99K
User PnL: -$1.16K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.77K
Potential profit: $71.77K
User PnL: -$495.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.91K
Potential profit: $66.91K
User PnL: -$6.14K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.78K
Potential profit: $64.78K
User PnL: -$3K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.65K
Potential profit: $64.65K
User PnL: -$367.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $60K
User PnL: -$199.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.1K
Potential profit: $59.1K
User PnL: -$2.97K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.73K
Potential profit: $58.73K
User PnL: -$5.04K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.86K
Potential profit: $57.86K
User PnL: -$636.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.11K
Potential profit: $56.11K
User PnL: -$3.32K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.95K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.89K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.89K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.85K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.88K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.42K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.24K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.73K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.05K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.05K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.78K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.21K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.84K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.63K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.84K

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.49K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.34K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 1,200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 1,500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 800 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 1,982.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 4,450.7 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 3,549.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 45,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 6,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 18,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 8,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 988.32 shares