Polymarket Trader

0xcA826304802BC148B3524003463cbF173b87E1F2-1775266797129

0xca826304802bc148b3524003463cbf173b87e1f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $249.25
Realized PnL: $9.55K
Win rate: 77.3%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.26K
Potential profit: $10.26K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $959.7
Potential profit: $959.7
User PnL: -$278.31

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $249.25
Potential payout: $906.36
Potential profit: $657.11
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$50.75

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $577.8
Potential profit: $577.8
User PnL: -$28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $4.28K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.28K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.92K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.24

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $357.84

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $311.38

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.77

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $216.85

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $187.81

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.37

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.7

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.84

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.83

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.71

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.41

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$12.14

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$47.19

Over position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$123.63

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$138.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$606

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 37.8% 12,866.76 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 38.7% 5,174.45 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 39% 7,692.31 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 35.9% 4,530.39 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 37% 2,683.78 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Over 21% 363.63 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 3% 3,333.33 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 82% 1,251.97 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 63% 553.73 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 64% 92.19 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

No 36% 999.99 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 66% 606.06 shares