No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.87K
- Potential payout
- $4.9K
- Potential profit
- $31.87
- User PnL
- $248.14
Polymarket Trader
alexfunfunfun
0xca88d64f331060ea470e473b687b26337facefb2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.66K
- Realized PnL
- $123.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $4.78K
- Potential payout
- $4.84K
- Potential profit
- $60.47
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $679.48
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.1%
- Current value
- $3.3K
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $491.4
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $191.63
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.53K
- Potential profit
- $3.53K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $3.3K
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $637.73
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $117.86
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $172.75
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $3.06K
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$20.99
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $20.26
- User PnL
- $363.55
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.37K
- Potential profit
- $16.62
- User PnL
- $323.77
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $77.89
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $105.17
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $6.68
- User PnL
- $85.75
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750.27
- Potential profit
- $750.27
- User PnL
- -$413.38
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $503.25
- Potential payout
- $649.35
- Potential profit
- $146.1
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $3.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.77
- Potential profit
- $212.77
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $156.25
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.24
- Potential profit
- $125.24
- User PnL
- -$4.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.94K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.25K
Yes position
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61K
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69K
No position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Solana above $210 on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $3,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes 91% 1,393.85 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 68% 1,270.53 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 77% 649.35 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 88% 990.33 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 99.4% 880.3 shares
- Brazil to score first vs. Haiti?Yes 87% 388.8 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 58% 339.12 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 99.4% 200 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 95% 169.76 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6% 3,229 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8% 3,229 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 68% 365.5 shares