Yes position
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $966.59
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$434.4
Polymarket Trader
goodar
0xca89a9026223e082ebada4dc82e003f80f50b94a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4K
- Realized PnL
- $6.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $304.16
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $19.26
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $21.83
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$178.07
Yes position
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $495
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$117
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $6.6
- Potential payout
- $455
- Potential profit
- $448.4
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$93.5
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $12.38
- Potential payout
- $375
- Potential profit
- $362.63
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$6.38
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $94.87
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $238.13
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$5.03
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.31
- Potential profit
- $298.31
- User PnL
- -$199.65
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $278.11
- Potential profit
- $278.11
- User PnL
- -$49.99
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $95
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $105
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $27.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $72.5
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $823.19
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.32
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.98
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.14
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.18
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.03
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.84
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.06
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.57
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.79
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.2
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.88
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.89
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.17
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.91
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.35
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.93
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.04
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.59
Yes position
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.97
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.23
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.24
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.07
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 61% 445.08 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 32% 238 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 30% 333 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 67.9% 147.32 shares
- Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 77% 775.51 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 50% 200 shares
- Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 76% 231 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 42% 238 shares
- Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes 69.3% 300.83 shares
- Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 84.9% 2,142 shares
- Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 83% 1,755.17 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 33.4% 172.6 shares